Poker Notepad: Overbetting in live poker

07.07.2015

Overbetting (betting the amount bigger than a pot) is risky, but very effective if done right. Poker betting is a science within the game. On lower limits it could be used much more often: most of the players play “I call, or I fold” strategy.

Here is a little introduction.

One. Don’t overbet if you’re inexperienced. Just don’t. You’ll lose money in the long run.

And two. To value overbet you need to have a good skill of hand reading. The more precise you read opponents supposed ranges, the more effective overbets are. Over bet poker is dangerous to those who are blind.

Elasticity

Many of you have probably heard of Price elasticity of demand. It describes reaction of buyers to changes of different factors (price, level of income, etc.). We have elasticity in poker as well – hand elasticity.

There are elastic and inelastic hands in poker. Sounds a little bit dumb, but there is point in it.

The elastic hand is dependent on side factors. For example, you would call half-pot bet on the river and you would fold to a pot-bet.

Inelastic hand is played very straightforward. The player has only two options with it. He’ll call anyway; the size of the bet can be whatever.

So most of the cash players at lower stakes chose inelastic scenario. We’re obviously speaking of live games. And overbetting will be useful in that case.

Absolute and relative strength of the hand

igroku-na-zametku-overbetting-v-zhivom-pokere

There is also one factor of some importance. Inexperienced players tend to overvalue their combinations. They judge their hands by the absolute strength of their combination, but 9-high flush in multi-pot with four cards of the same suit is weak.

“Masters” of small stakes often don’t think or think not enough about their opponent’s holdings.

The main aim of overbettor is to get maximal value of inelastic hands (call or fold hands). These are poker betting rules in general.

So enough theory for now, let us look at some examples

Hand 1

Very simple example. Effective stacks $400.

Player raises, three calls, including us (J-Ts).

Flop: K-J-J (rainbow). The opponent from middle position bets $15, we are the only ones who call. His range is mostly kings and jacks

Turn: J. The opponent bets $25, we call, Now he can only have kings.

River: 3.

The opponent bets $35. What do we do now? Raise, of course, but for how much? In usual situation $110 would be enough, he almost for sure has top full-house and he is not going to fold it. If he calls $110 here, he would call $200 also. We’ll get additional $90, and these money never hurt.

Hand 2

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Slightly different scenario. Effective stacks $200.

Three limps, we have 4-5o on BB, we check.

Flop: Аs-2s-3. What do we do? We bet, and we bet big. There is $9 in the pot, we bet $15.In these situations if flop hits, that is not going to make difference as $15 is also chip.

We get call from conservative straightforward player. So he is going to have ace and a strong one.

There is $39 on the pot instead of $20 something. We overbet again, for $45. The opponent isn’t going to fold his top pair as he would have done it earlier.

There is $129 in the pot, and $140 and in opponents stack.

Ривер: Ао! A great card for us! Usually $90 is standart bet here, but there is no point not to fire all guns here. If he calls $90 here, he would call $140. He would have rare full-house here  but we can’t fold our straight already.

If he folds to $140 bet, he would probably done the same with $90 bet. Don’t worry about it.

Anyway, strong ace is his card almost all the time. Limp-pot of $9 is now overinflated to $400!

Previously on the series:

Poker Notepad: Relative Value

Poker Notepad: Pot Commitment

Poker Notepad: Live poker chameleon

Poker Notepad: Maniacs can cry also

Poker Notepad: Poker isn’t slot machine

Poker Notepad: Tournaments are fun, but cash is cash

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